The Statistics Behind Scarlets’ Season


“It was a sobering night, we got what we deserved,” those were the words of Scarlets head coach Dwayne Peel after their 3-45 record home loss to Glasgow on Saturday.

You might expect after such a heavy loss at home that Scarlets fans might respond by booing but at the end the response from the majority closely resembled acceptance of where their side are.

Six years ago to the day, things were very different.

On the 30th of March 2018, Scarlets earnt a famous 29-17 home win over La Rochelle to reach a first European Champions Cup semi-final in 11 years during a season where they’d also reach the Pro 14 final. That was on the back of having won the league the previous season.

On the 30th of March 2024, Scarlets lost by a record 42-point margin, having already been knocked out of the European Challenge Cup following a home loss to Georgia’s Black Lion.

What happened to La Rochelle? Well, they face Stormers on Saturday as they pursue a third consecutive European Champions Cup title.

In 2018, Scarlets were in front of a record 15,000-strong crowd, most of whom stayed behind to applaud their players’ win whilst Saturday’s crowd was less than half that amount.

This season, Scarlets haven’t recovered after a South African mauling in rounds one and two of the URC this season with any momentum gained since immediately stripped from them.

After conceding 115 points to the Bulls and Sharks, Scarlets beat Cardiff at home in November, only to lose a home game to Lions by a point and then lose by 49 and 22 at Leinster and Ospreys respectively.

A month later, Scarlets grabbed their second win of the season, again against Cardiff, this time at the Arms Park. What followed were consecutive losses in the Challenge Cup to Castres and then home to Black Lion, before another derby loss to Ospreys.

Scarlets have consistently ended seasons strongly and when they beat Benetton last weekend through a last-minute Eduan Swart try, you could have been forgiven for thinking that it was the start of a run.

However, they were dismal in their 3-45 hammering to Glasgow and can only hope to put in better performances in front of their fans in their remaining home fixtures against Sharks, Ulster and Dragons, the last of which being part of Judgement Day.

“There were times when we were soft in terms of accuracy on both sides of the ball,” said Peel after the loss on Saturday.

“We gave Glasgow the ins into our 22 we knew we couldn’t afford to whether through lack of discipline or our errors.”

That discipline saw Scarlets receive three yellow cards to Tom Rogers, Dan Jones and Sam Lousi, in total they have now received nine yellow cards, the second highest in the league.

Additionally, they have conceded the highest amount of penalties, including the most scrum and lineout penalties whilst they have won the fewest scrum penalties in the league this season.

The overall statistics of this season make for grim reading from a Scarlets perspective.

Scarlets have now lost by 35 points or more on five occasions this season against Bulls, Stormers and Leinster away, along with home defeats to Munster and Glasgow.

Glasgow was their joint seventh biggest defeat in their history, of those, six have come in the league, four of which have come this season against Leinster 49, Stormers 45 and Bulls and Glasgow both 42.

If you look at the season as a whole, it doesn’t get much better. Scarlets have now conceded 436 points in the league this season, only three less than Dragons and Zebre.

However, the stats in attack are arguably more worrying. Scarlets have scored the fewest number of points in the URC this season, 21 less than Dragons and 78 fewer than Zebre.

Injuries have played their part, with Taine Plumtree, Josh Macleod and Ken Owens long-term absentees whilst Jonny Williams, Jarrod Taylor and Sam Costelow missed the game against Glasgow along with Joe Roberts and Steff Evans who are out for the season.

They have also seen Samson Lee retire in December, while Jonny McNicholl returned to an opportunity in New Zealand with the Crusaders.

With five games remaining, bizarrely, the Scarlets can still qualify for the play-offs although they would need a number of results and maybe a minor miracle to go their way.

Two of those are at home along with judgement day and they will surely be targeting them to avoid their fewest number of wins in a season which currently stands at five from the 2009-10 season.